Bayes' theorem: scientific assessment of experience
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.51910/ijhdr.v9i32.370Keywords:
Homeopathy, Bayes' theorem, RepertoryAbstract
Homeopathy is based on experience and this is a scientific procedure if we follow Bayes' theorem. Unfortunately this is not the case at the moment. Symptoms are added to our materia medica based on absolute occurrence, while Bayes theorem tells us that this should be based on relative occurrence. Bayes theorem can be applied on prospective research, but also on retrospective research and consensus based on a large number of cases. Confirmation bias is an important source of false data in experience based systems like homeopathy. Homeopathic doctors should become more aware of this and longer follow-up of cases could remedy this. The existing system of adding symptoms to our materia medica is obsolete.Downloads
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Published
2021-12-25
How to Cite
Rutten, L. (2021). Bayes’ theorem: scientific assessment of experience. International Journal of High Dilution Research - ISSN 1982-6206, 9(32), 104–114. https://doi.org/10.51910/ijhdr.v9i32.370
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Section
Special Issue: 200th anniversary of the Organon.
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Copyright (c) 2021 Lex Rutten
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